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Sovereign Debt Crisis: The New Normal and the Newly Poor by D. Chorafas

By D. Chorafas

Restructuring the stability sheets of Western governments, banks and families is a vital factor within the restoration after the new quandary. Chorafas' most recent booklet specializes in sovereign debt, sovereign probability and the constructing financial and monetary company weather and explains why the 12 months of the large difficulty may perhaps fall in the midst of this decade.

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Sovereign Debt Crisis: The New Normal and the Newly Poor (Palgrave Macmillan Studies in Banking and Financial Institutions)

Restructuring the stability sheets of Western governments, banks and families is a crucial factor within the restoration after the hot problem. Chorafas' most up-to-date e-book specializes in sovereign debt, sovereign threat and the constructing financial and monetary company weather and explains why the 12 months of the massive drawback may well fall in the midst of this decade.

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Additional info for Sovereign Debt Crisis: The New Normal and the Newly Poor (Palgrave Macmillan Studies in Banking and Financial Institutions)

Sample text

4 trillion rather than staying below the $1 trillion originally projected. They suggest that the Congressional Budget Office had exercised restraint, even if its deficit projections were worse than the government’s. Sovereigns’ attitudes towards debt at the beginning of this second decade of the twenty-first century has a disquieting similitude to the early eighteenth century and the early 1920s (Chapter 1), because it shows some common trends with those troubled periods. Personal responsibility has taken leave, and good governance went along.

It was true in 1920s and it is true today, with the difference that, in the coming years, general bankruptcy might be truly global. The importance of knowing the ‘normal’ conditions Let’s start with statisticians. They love the normal curve of events and measurements because it reflects the degree of calculability of an event occurring. 18 Financial Risks Which Kept Piling Up Besides that, there exist excellent statistical tests and tables based on normal distribution. The nasty fact is that many distributions of real-life events are not normal.

Not even Japan, whose economy has been in a bad way for two decades, has had such a score. Nobody is in charge of debt policy The deep economic crisis of 2007–11, which started with subprimes and the banking industry’s illiquidity, turned into a crisis of sovereigns. Its course and its amplitude have much to do with spreading indebtedness at all levels of society, all the way to sovereign risk. To deal effectively with it and come out ahead of the curve requires a different policy than the parochial ‘fire brigade’ approach, the results of which have proven to be both very costly and highly ineffective.

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