By W. Michael Hix, J. Michael Polich, Thomas F. Lippiatt W. Michael Hix, RAND
Analyzes a proposed coverage of holding as a lot of ahead U.S. military presence in Europe as possible by way of rotating devices from the USA instead of by way of completely stationing them in Europe.
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11 The ranges shown indicate the results of varying the key assumptions that would affect major cost elements. ___________ 11The sources of the ranges are as follows. 75 of the average cost, accounting for fixed overhead and management; the full $230 million assumes that costs come down at the full average cost. (2) Allowances: The lower figure assumes that the Army does not pay the miscellaneous and incidental expense (MIE) allowance to rotating soldiers and that it recoups some of their dining-hall food cost by charging them the current enlisted subsistence rate; the upper figure assumes that the Army pays the MIE allowance and does not collect a charge for food.
28 SUSTAINING READINESS AND TRAINING Key Questions •Is the rotational policy feasible? •To what extent would the policy: • Enhance soldier and family stability • Save money • Affect readiness and training • Offer other benefits R Arroyo Center We turn now to the policy’s effects on training and readiness. 29 Adding Fifth Brigade Deployment Reduces 24-Month Cycle Time To 19 Months 16 Heavy Brigades, 4 Deployed Recover 1 Prep 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 Deployed 19 21 23 CONUS time: 18 mos Cycle time: 24 mos 16 Heavy Brigades, 5 Deployed Recover 1 Prep 3 5 7 9 11 13 Deployed 15 17 19 CONUS time: 13 months Cycle time: 19 months Limited time at home But collective training could be sustained • 2 to 3 months downtime during CONUS phase • Gunnery every 6 months – 1 to 2 months recovery • NTC or CMTC possible every year – 1 month preparation for deployment • Average 13 months in CONUS--Marine Corps model R Arroyo Center This chart illustrates the effects of two different deployment requirements on the rotation cycles of heavy brigades.
Second, the number of brigades required in Europe could be reduced below four. Such a policy would not only lengthen personnel cycles and save money; it would also reduce the equipment requirement. Third, as mentioned above, the force mix requirement could substitute one or more light brigades for the four heavy. Such a substitution would increase the versatility of the European presence and may be more consistent than the heavy force with the emerging and evolving missions in Europe. 35 Effects of Substituting One Light for Heavy Brigade in European Rotation Plan Today’s Req’t 16 hvy Bdes 4 hvy in Europe 1 hvy in Kuwait Criterion Personnel and families Family stability Family separation in heavy bdes Training and readiness Time in CONUS Divisions with 3 heavy bdes in CONUS simultaneously BTCP mode Substitute Light 16 hvy Bdes 3 hvy + 1 light in Europe 1 hvy in Kuwait Improved Improved 45% 39% 13 18 0 1 Remote Co-located Cost European equipment sets Recurring savings One-time costs 4 3 $200-350M/yr A little more 4 bdes restationed 4 bdes restationed R Arroyo Center The substitution of a light for a heavy brigade has several positive effects.